Quote: richie_d, Wednesday, 6 Aug 2008 12:37And have you gotten involved in any of the very polite tete a tetes we sometimes have regarding Standard Deviation?
Like a computer, the problem with standard deviation is all in how it is used. I understand that Ted has not been exactly forthcoming on this. The gods have their reasons and they do not share them with mortals.
A crude cosmological approximation would be to find the average score for each item, ie, Plot, dialogue, etc, and estimate your chart count by not counting any scores that are 2 stars or more below the average.
However, I note that crude cosmological approximations have also resulted in the diameter of the Universe being estimated at less than 1 metre, which is an embarrassing result for any cosmologist. In consequence, said approximations are to be taken with a pinch of salty scepticism.
To effectively read the mind of YWO, you would need to know all the ratings and chart positions of at least 5 books. I only have 4 online at the moment, and two of the them have less than 4 reviews, so my theory is incomplete and remains untested.
If a bunch of volunteers were willing to send spreadsheets (I would supply the empty format) with their ratings and their chart positions on a given day, we would have a non zero probability of reading the mind of God, Ted and the YWO developers, all in one glorious strike.
Again a word of caution: I note that there is also a non zero probability that at any one time (a relative concept at best) the Universe may suddenly go FWAP! and disappear, leaving all of us in a much greater pickle than was ever dreamt of on YWO.
And if I take this any further, there is a distinct possibility, as opposed to a finite probability, that this idle speculation will turn into the next Lord of the Rings quest, roughly as follows:
I see Ted, standing astride the abyss. He is a tall gaunt figure in a white robe, his white beard flailing behind him, blown by the winds of Hell. He is striking the bridge with his staff and glowering at the hordes of self obsessed, egotistic and fame starved yowers, who frothing at the mouth eye the other side of the abyss as all sense of decency crumbles to dust in their mind. A redness takes them over from within and shines out through their eyes.
"Only five shall pass!" shouts Ted, his eyes the eyes of a wrathful god of hidden wisdom and standard deviations (actually, that sounds a bit harsh). The volcano erupts in the background and the yower hordes cower.
I stand at the front, debating whether to pitch self preservation against stupid, dumb odds. To attach the reading credit or not to attach the reading credit, that is the quesiton. The trolls and smuttons salver and hiccup and belch and shriek with the agony of their festering apetites as the herd inches closer to the abyss. With petit moi at the front. Why me? Because you are top of the chart you blithering idiot!
A huge krubb leaps above the parapet of the abyss edge, her eyes wild with hunger and her slobbering jaws slam shut inches from my ego. The krubb falls back howling with frustration.
I take another step. The seven days are up, I must commit another reading credit. It is early in the month and I am in the ignominous and all too obvious position of topping the chart. I have been here before and I have bounced way back (I am AKA ZeBeDee) from pages 2 and 3 only to face the horrifying gore of my own dismemberment yet again. The krubb reappears, flapping its tiny flippers frantically, stretching its thick, blubbery neck to get a teeny weeeny longer glimpse of me. Oooh, it thinks (it is allowed one thought at a time in its tiny brain), this is a plump one! Slobba, slobba, slobba! Chuka GaLuck! A shoal of flying Smuttons join it briefly. They cackle and howl with joy, they have seen me too, ah, what a feast it will be! They fall back into the abyss, but they will be back, I know it. I have been here before.
I hesitate. The only way is down (a Smuttons throat) now, but there is no way back: behind me are the desolate steppes of the WAIKI (World As I Know It), where I am but a half baked IT consultant. And even if I chose to turn back, I could not: the yowers heave me forwards, pushing me to the very edge.
"We are right behind, you" they cry.
So be it. Into the breach my friends, once more, yet again. I have been here before and I will be back. I am no hero, it is just that I have no choice. I step out over the abyss, mustering the last shreds of my faith and self confidence.
As I step forwards, I look across, to the other side of the abyss, and do you know what I see? I just see the barren WAIKI there too. Even if I pass over, nothing will change. It is all the pointless pain of being alive.
The Smutton leaps, jostling the krubb into the walls of the abyss where it burst with a pop into a flower of pink sentimentality. The Smutton rears up, unchecked now, a certain certainty as it strikes upwards. I look down, just in time to see a silver blur rising beneath me...
Goodbye, I am the weakest link.
Andrew